Assignment #2: Admission Dean for a Day
Results Summary
Students admitted
The following table shows Jon's (undoubtedly precise) assessment of the probability of each student enrolling if admitted and the number of our "deans for a day" who chose to admit each student in the set. Our discussion on Wednesday evening will focus mostly on those "on the bubble" with 4-8 choosing to admit.
| Name | Prob of matric if admitted |
# of deans admitting |
| Carrie Allode | 0.5 | 9 |
| Ivana Billet | 0.75 | 4 |
| Abel Booker | 0.3 | 4 |
| Brad Brooks | 0.75 | 4 |
| Chad Brooks | 0.75 | 12 |
| Lucy Cannon | 0.5 | 9 |
| Phillip Carr | 1 | 3 |
| Lewis Clark | 0.2 | 7 |
| Iona Crane | 0.1 | 7 |
| Juan de Griz | 0.05 | 11 |
| Sharon de Witt | 0.25 | 7 |
| Ellis Dee | 0.75 | 6 |
| Alexis Driver | 0.25 | 3 |
| Lynn Field | 0.15 | 0 |
| Kat Fix | 0.5 | 6 |
| Ali Gayshun | 0.2 | 12 |
| Fawna Green | 0.5 | 9 |
| Reed Griffin | 1 | 7 |
| Berkshire Hathaway | 0.1 | 9 |
| Polly Hester | 0.5 | 8 |
| Max Joiner | 0.15 | 9 |
| Sue Keeney | 0.4 | 6 |
| Luther King | 0.1 | 11 |
| Ima Klutz | 0.5 | 4 |
| May B. Knott | 0.1 | 12 |
| Tennaby Lait | 1 | 4 |
| Reza Lamb | 0.8 | 5 |
| Cara Lott | 0.25 | 4 |
| Willy Lowe-Marks | 0.25 | 5 |
| Art Major | 0.6 | 2 |
| Geri Manders | 0.5 | 4 |
| Sally Manders | 0.9 | 11 |
| Ima Maugham | 0.6 | 6 |
| Phillip Morris | 0.6 | 3 |
| Annie Mulhouse | 0.1 | 4 |
| Adam Mupp | 0.1 | 7 |
| Ophelia Payne | 0.2 | 2 |
| Robin Plunder | 0.7 | 11 |
| Andre Preneur | 0.25 | 5 |
| Anna Rekcik | 0.5 | 9 |
| Willy N. Rolle | 0.1 | 9 |
| Wanda Singh | 0.3 | 12 |
| Norm L. Smart | 0.25 | 8 |
| Harold Square | 0.25 | 6 |
| Washington Starr | 0.05 | 11 |
| Tad Strange | 0.6 | 0 |
| Shirley Will | 1 | 8 |
| Narian Wong | 0.1 | 11 |
| Les Wright | 0.75 | 3 |
| Warren Zinner | 0.1 | 5 |
Expected outcomes vs. targets
The table below shows how close the expected outcomes for each "dean for a day" came to hitting the established targets of 12 matriculating students and $200,000 of aid expended.
| Admission Dean | # Admitted | Exp Number in Class | Exp Aid Needed |
| Target |
|
12 | $200,000 |
| Casey Anderson | 29 | 10.60 | $148,500 |
| Jonathan Calenzani | 27 | 10.50 | $122,000 |
| Katherine Chen | 20 | 7.10 | $119,500 |
| Lauren DeRosa | 30 | 11.75 | $153,000 |
| Zach Horváth | 29 | 11.30 | $172,000 |
| Sean Howard | 31 | 12.45 | $201,000 |
| John Iselin | 28 | 10.35 | $144,500 |
| Kirin Kachroo-Levine | 36 | 12.60 | $199,000 |
| Michael Kincaid | 28 | 11.50 | $238,500 |
| Daniel Ku | 20 | 7.40 | $115,000 |
| Shabab Mirza | 28 | 11.95 | $200,500 |
| Ben Sutphin | 28 | 8.30 | $153,000 |
| Name | Prob | # admit |
| Carrie Allode | 0.5 | 9 |
| Ivana Billet | 0.75 | 4 |
| Abel Booker | 0.3 | 4 |
| Brad Brooks | 0.75 | 4 |
| Chad Brooks | 0.75 | 12 |
| Lucy Cannon | 0.5 | 9 |
| Phillip Carr | 1 | 3 |
| Lewis Clark | 0.2 | 7 |
| Iona Crane | 0.1 | 7 |
| Juan de Griz | 0.05 | 11 |
| Sharon de Witt | 0.25 | 7 |
| Ellis Dee | 0.75 | 6 |
| Alexis Driver | 0.25 | 3 |
| Lynn Field | 0.15 | 0 |
| Kat Fix | 0.5 | 6 |
| Ali Gayshun | 0.2 | 12 |
| Fawna Green | 0.5 | 9 |
| Reed Griffin | 1 | 7 |
| Berkshire Hathaway | 0.1 | 9 |
| Polly Hester | 0.5 | 8 |
| Max Joiner | 0.15 | 9 |
| Sue Keeney | 0.4 | 6 |
| Luther King | 0.1 | 11 |
| Ima Klutz | 0.5 | 4 |
| May B. Knott | 0.1 | 12 |
| Tennaby Lait | 1 | 4 |
| Reza Lamb | 0.8 | 5 |
| Cara Lott | 0.25 | 4 |
| Willy Lowe-Marks | 0.25 | 5 |
| Art Major | 0.6 | 2 |
| Geri Manders | 0.5 | 4 |
| Sally Manders | 0.9 | 11 |
| Ima Maugham | 0.6 | 6 |
| Phillip Morris | 0.6 | 3 |
| Annie Mulhouse | 0.1 | 4 |
| Adam Mupp | 0.1 | 7 |
| Ophelia Payne | 0.2 | 2 |
| Robin Plunder | 0.7 | 11 |
| Andre Preneur | 0.25 | 5 |
| Anna Rekcik | 0.5 | 9 |
| Willy N. Rolle | 0.1 | 9 |
| Wanda Singh | 0.3 | 12 |
| Norm L. Smart | 0.25 | 8 |
| Harold Square | 0.25 | 6 |
| Washington Starr | 0.05 | 11 |
| Tad Strange | 0.6 | 0 |
| Shirley Will | 1 | 8 |
| Narian Wong | 0.1 | 11 |
| Les Wright | 0.75 | 3 |
| Warren Zinner | 0.1 | 5 |